Manifesto
Markets often follow narratives. We prioritize empirical validation. Most prediction insights begin as hypotheses. We transform hypotheses into rigorous tests—and let performance guide resource deployment.
- 1) Talk → tests → truth. Every idea becomes a time‑bound, verifiable prediction with clear entry/exit, assets, and risk.
- 2) Evidence before deployment. Scoreboards and gates route resources to what survives. No exceptions.
- 3) Discipline beats discretion. We build algorithms that execute rules. Discretion belongs in research, not execution.
- 4) Rigor at speed. Leakage‑aware validation, out‑of‑sample checks, walk‑forward analysis, risk overlays. We ship fast without faking rigor.
- 5) Stability region over point optimum. We select strategies for stability across regimes, not for a single backtest peak.
- 6) Agentic and composable. We use AI assistants to systematize strategies, refactor pipelines, and scale testing.
- 7) Builders over theorists. We prize implementers who prove ideas in code, not decks.
- 8) Absolute returns, low drawdowns. We use leverage only where the drawdown discipline is earned.
- 9) Strategic openness. We share methodologies and frameworks that preserve competitive advantage while advancing the field.
- 10) The scoreboard is the culture. Recognition is earned by clearing gates and deploying solutions.
- 11) Not HFT; daily swing. We operate on the daily timeframe by design to avoid noise and optimize for regime stability.
- 12) Global coverage. Cross‑asset, cross‑region breadth (equities and futures) reduces narrative bias and strengthens evidence.
- 13) Vision follows proof. Internal prop research today; signal licensing tomorrow—evidence leads the roadmap.
Vision
We compound a data + workflow moat by structuring public ideas into a predictions dataset and stability‑verified approaches. Resources deploy to what persists; future products may license signals where durability is demonstrated.