Provata

Method

Our systematic framework: collect → formalize → validate → evaluate → deploy → refine. We build structured processes that amplify empirical insights while filtering out market noise.

1) Ingest

Systematically gather prediction insights from diverse digital sources. Maintain source attribution, temporal context, and background information.

2) Structure

Turn talk into predictions: instruments, direction, rules, timeframe (daily, non‑HFT), risk budget.

2.5) Coverage

Global equities and futures with multi‑region data ingest; breadth reduces narrative bias and improves robustness.

3) Backtest

Stability‑verified harness with leakage‑aware validation, walk‑forward analysis, and realistic slippage/fees.

4) Rank

Score sources by out‑of‑sample performance across risk‑adjusted return, drawdown, turnover, and stability.

5) Allocate

Gates determine resource routing. Only approaches that clear stability and risk thresholds earn deployment. Low volatility unlocks scaling; stability gates precede deployment.

6) Learn → Build

Generalize what works to train proprietary models (time‑series ML) and evolve algorithmic systems.

Gates and KPIs

  • Infra velocity: ship ingestion + backtest scaffolding fast with minimum standards.
  • Workflow robustness: agentic pipelines that are reproducible, inspectable, and low‑touch.
  • Strategy throughput & quality: number cleared + out‑of‑sample performance (risk‑adjusted return, drawdown).